Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 13.226461 15.456452 17.890403 20.736742 23.966172 27.508403 31.679504
2025-05-18 9.208826 12.167140 15.738062 20.329023 26.034043 32.846699 41.549342
2025-05-25 6.855725 10.011136 14.140092 19.855929 27.467558 37.148579 50.268248
2025-06-01 5.300054 8.444827 12.855466 19.353140 28.513403 40.773311 58.187086
2025-06-08 4.056313 7.015774 11.442656 18.344508 28.583620 42.916404 64.122100
2025-06-15 3.551374 6.576473 11.347696 19.135341 31.167530 48.614862 75.259773
2025-06-22 3.060054 6.053427 11.020057 19.484798 33.067039 53.411566 85.391234
2025-06-29 2.534875 5.364770 10.307171 19.101825 33.748809 56.392803 92.993270
2025-07-06 2.049926 4.648626 9.428840 18.308747 33.650184 58.109780 98.723958
2025-07-13 1.913459 4.574269 9.664567 19.429347 36.763113 65.029761 112.893194
2025-07-20 1.774047 4.466126 9.816382 20.402049 39.684805 71.808000 127.211906
2025-07-27 1.589562 4.225953 9.678474 20.816896 41.650971 77.120259 139.444353
2025-08-03 1.355048 3.849125 9.260351 20.742408 42.898894 81.587511 151.051176
2025-08-10 1.123787 3.431099 8.702092 20.347528 43.567623 85.198306 161.631843
2025-08-17 0.926924 3.046358 8.146512 19.876298 44.030301 88.464149 171.825745
2025-08-24 0.762928 2.701531 7.615378 19.373448 44.358764 91.480027 181.736696
2025-08-31 0.601211 2.312127 6.902067 18.363964 43.548999 92.311100 187.764161
2025-09-07 0.552618 2.250361 6.985313 19.155531 46.503117 100.384622 207.385351
2025-09-14 0.490336 2.126315 6.885837 19.505308 48.549446 106.843596 224.377231
2025-09-21 0.409274 1.911640 6.503252 19.121987 48.970521 110.153019 235.643091
2025-09-28 0.328553 1.667212 5.986443 18.328184 48.394008 111.421738 243.070015
2025-10-05 0.314873 1.676574 6.209019 19.449808 52.245538 121.866271 268.767872
2025-10-12 0.297461 1.665565 6.368474 20.423391 55.830984 131.964398 294.268349